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President Obama Leads in Three Key States

President Barack Obama
Chris Schneider/Getty Images

After capitalizing on the awesomeness at the DNC convention, President Obama leads in Ohio, Florida, and Virginia according to new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College polls. The percentages put the Commander-in-Chief solidly ahead of GOP nominee Mitt Romney in perhaps the three most important states in American electoral politics as the campaign enters its last two months. According to those surveys, the president is ahead 49 percent to 44 percent in Florida and Virginia and 50 percent to 43 percent in Ohio. The polls, which were taken before the unrest in Libya, Egypt, and Yemen started to dominate headlines, illustrate the stability of the presidential race.

Most polls by other news organizations of these three states have shown the president leading, although his margin has been more narrow in the majority of them. But since these surveys are the first major ones after the DNC convention, it seems to have been the direct result in the slight increase in support for President Obama. Ohio, Florida, and Virginia are so important because both candidates need them to win the White House. George W. Bush won all three states in 2004, but Obama carried them in 2008. While the survey wasn't broken down by race, the underlying dynamics certainly plays it part in diagnosing the election. Obama is getting 86 percent of the non-White vote in Ohio, has huge leads with voters under 30, Hispanics and Blacks in Florida, and in all three states, women favor the president, while favor men the former Massachusetts governor.

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